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Is There a Second Wave of Coronavirus Infections in Iran?

Written by OIAC-US

The novel coronavirus has caused unprecedented disruptions in societies throughout the world. With millions infected, hundreds of thousands killed, and no end in sight, every nation is challenged to respond in the best way they can to protect their citizens until a vaccine can be developed. As of this writing, almost 145,000 Americans have died as the people in the U.S. grapple with the deadly virus. While America’s response to the virus may be tragic, Iran’s has perhaps been particularly inept. Iranian-US relations are marked by similarities in the two country’s peoples because of their shared democratic aspirations but sadly, the clerical rulers in Tehran may be responsible for a failure to contain the virus or build appropriate healthcare infrastructure to take care of COVID patients.  Here are some things to consider as Iran deals with a second wave of COVID-19.

Why Do Second Waves Occur?

A lot is still unknown about the novel coronavirus. Most of we know about it is through our experience of living with it over the last several months and sporadic publicly released research articles. In particular, we’ve seen what happens when people become less tolerant of the social measures put in place to prevent the spread of the virus and its many bizarre medical complication. While a nation’s citizens are initially tolerant of wearing masks and social distancing, they gradually grow tired of these restrictions, thereby increasing the potential of its spread.

Will It Get Worse in the Fall?

Since this virus is new to us, little is known about how seasons and temperatures affect it. Some common respiratory illnesses, such as the flu and colds, are more common in cold weather, so it’s possible this virus could spread more easily in these additionally volunarable persons which can potentially overwhelm healthcare systems. Another reason the fall could be more dangerous is because more people could be asymptomatic than in the spring. Outbreaks in the spring begin in each country with just a few cases before spreading among the population. By the fall, the virus will already be present, so new outbreaks might originate from many more asymptomatic carriers. Furthermore, governments like Iran’s will have to contend with other diseases that occur in the fall. With Iranian health services severely under resourced and overtaxed due to government policies and the coronavirus, health care workers and the populous will have to contend with the flu as well.

Is Iran Prepared for a Second Wave?

As with the a few other nations, the biggest obstacle to successfully dealing with a second wave of the coronavirus is the simple fact that the first wave never ended. This issue is particularly relevant in Iran because of the pandemic began and where it is today.  As of this writing, at least 25 million Iranians may be infected while the Iranian resistance has reported that over 79,000 Iranians have died due to COVID-19. If Ayatollahs do not allocated significantly more resources to fighting the virus or treating the affected quickly,  the second wave of coronavirus infections will continue to cost Iranians tens and thousands of lives.

Sadly, the Iranian people continue to suffer due to their corrupt and undemocratic government. The Organization of Iranian American Communities is dedicated to a free and democratic Iran that’s more responsive to the needs of its people, benefiting both Iranians and Iran-US relations in the process. If you would like to join us or if you have any questions, call us today at (202) 559-9232.

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